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Red70
607015.5
926318.7
403956.6
Blue103
124146.3
748031.0
78127.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97111608012014016070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.61.5
56.454.9
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
red by 10.3
46.30.6
43.843.2
Auto11.4
Teleop25.5
End9.4
Second
9263
#26
18.72.0
19.017.0
Auto8.2
Teleop4.6
End6.0
blue by 12.3
7480
#21
31.00.6
32.932.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End7.5
Third
6070
#20
15.52.0
17.215.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 12.2
781
#22
27.80.6
25.524.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned