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Red45
878912.9
67258.9
373933.6
Blue130
790218.7
368362.3
808926.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50117010015045130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#12
33.60.7
32.031.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
blue by 28.7
62.32.0
59.761.7
Auto17.0
Teleop37.0
End8.1
Second
8789
#33
12.90.9
14.413.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 13.7
8089
#17
26.52.0
24.126.1
Auto9.9
Teleop10.9
End5.7
Third
6725
#31
8.90.9
9.18.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 9.9
7902
#29
18.71.6
17.118.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned