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Red72
587026.1
21619.8
201339.4
Blue68
491738.8
461716.6
747517.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6466304050607080901007268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#13
39.40.7
28.829.5
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End8.5
red by 0.7
4917
#11
38.80.3
26.627.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Second
5870
#18
26.11.2
21.522.7
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0
red by 8.7
7475
#30
17.40.3
14.915.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End5.9
Third
216
#14
19.80.7
10.911.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 3.2
4617
#25
16.60.3
18.719.0
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed