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Red80
128539.0
607015.5
540641.1
Blue132
502437.6
201339.4
926318.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104100608012014016080132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.4
41.541.2
Auto10.7
Teleop23.3
End7.2
red by 1.7
2013
#13
39.40.2
39.139.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End8.5
Second
39.00.4
39.439.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 1.4
37.60.2
37.237.4
Auto12.9
Teleop16.3
End8.3
Third
6070
#20
15.50.4
15.915.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 3.2
9263
#26
18.70.2
18.318.5
Auto8.2
Teleop4.6
End6.0