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Red106
587026.1
490748.7
132547.8
Blue66
808926.5
491738.8
790218.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136845010015020010666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.6
48.147.5
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
red by 9.9
4917
#11
38.80.4
39.338.9
Auto12.6
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Second
47.80.6
47.246.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
red by 21.3
8089
#17
26.50.4
27.026.6
Auto9.9
Teleop10.9
End5.7
Third
5870
#18
26.10.6
25.524.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0
red by 7.4
7902
#29
18.70.4
19.218.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End5.7