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Red59
86522.8
124149.1
765919.7
Blue106
613521.1
260942.3
906227.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9992020030040050060070059106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.12.6
44.742.1
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 6.8
2609
#15
42.31.2
43.344.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
Second
865
#14
22.82.6
24.722.0
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End7.1
blue by 4.2
27.01.2
21.823.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Third
7659
#24
19.72.6
23.921.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 1.4
6135
#13
21.11.2
22.423.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned