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Red98
136031.7
434330.9
752019.2
Blue86
430823.5
888435.8
270828.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768802040601001201409886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#11
31.71.5
25.827.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
blue by 4.1
35.80.3
32.833.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Second
4343
#18
30.91.5
28.329.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
red by 2.8
2708
#21
28.10.3
26.326.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Third
7520
#12
19.21.5
16.918.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End8.0
blue by 4.3
4308
#16
23.50.3
22.522.8
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed