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Red82
132550.9
697830.7
559615.2
Blue141
888435.8
136031.7
415242.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610240608014016018082141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.6
50.949.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
red by 8.3
42.62.9
36.739.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
Second
30.71.6
37.335.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.7
End7.9
blue by 5.1
35.82.9
33.136.0
Auto11.7
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Third
5596
#25
15.21.6
18.216.5
Auto7.4
Teleop4.2
End3.9
blue by 16.5
1360
#11
31.72.9
27.330.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned