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Red123
285222.3
260942.3
270234.9
Blue82
434330.9
762315.8
78135.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189105015020012382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#15
42.31.6
43.642.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
red by 6.7
781
#10
35.70.7
37.136.3
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End7.1
Second
2702
#17
34.91.6
37.736.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 4.0
4343
#18DQ
30.90.7
32.031.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
Third
2852
#23
22.31.6
26.925.2
Auto10.3
Teleop7.4
End4.8
red by 6.5
7623
#26
15.80.7
18.818.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsEarned