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Red120
748033.1
613521.1
755851.0
Blue116
201346.7
270828.1
999918.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091068090100120130120116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.2
47.148.3
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
red by 4.4
46.71.6
43.645.2
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
Second
7480
#22
33.11.2
33.234.4
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End6.9
red by 5.0
2708
#21
28.11.6
29.330.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Third
6135
#13
21.11.2
21.522.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End7.3
red by 3.1
9999
#20
18.02.6
19.522.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned