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Red161
124149.1
999918.0
490762.4
Blue69
430823.5
270234.9
415242.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144111020030040050016169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.6
62.163.8
Auto15.9
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 19.8
42.62.9
40.137.1
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
Second
49.11.6
41.843.4
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 14.2
2702
#17
34.92.9
42.339.3
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
9999
#20
18.02.7
15.518.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 5.5
4308
#16
23.52.9
25.422.5
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed