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Red40
762315.8
748033.1
136031.7
Blue62
559615.2
765919.7
613521.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97610501502004062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#22
33.13.0
36.333.3
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End6.9
red by 11.9
6135
#13
21.10.0
22.422.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End7.3
Second
1360
#11
31.73.0
28.925.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
red by 12.0
7659
#24
19.70.0
23.923.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Third
7623
#26
15.83.0
20.517.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
red by 0.6
5596
#25
15.20.0
15.015.1
Auto7.4
Teleop4.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned