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Red55
752019.2
86522.8
583423.6
Blue151
132550.9
755851.0
78135.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6714705010020025030055151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5834
#27
23.61.5
27.526.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 27.5
51.01.6
41.743.3
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
Second
865
#14
22.81.5
26.124.7
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End7.1
blue by 28.1
50.91.6
48.550.1
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
Third
7520
#12
19.21.5
18.416.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End8.0
blue by 16.5
781
#10
35.71.6
38.239.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned