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Red105
888435.8
906227.0
999918.0
Blue102
571912.4
285222.3
201346.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8980204060100120105102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.82.1
30.732.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 10.8
46.70.4
44.545.0
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
Second
27.02.1
19.721.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End6.4
red by 4.7
2852
#23
22.30.4
28.428.9
Auto10.3
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Third
9999
#20
18.03.5
18.221.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
red by 5.6
5719
#19
12.40.4
7.47.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned