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Qual 92023 Overtime Sunday
Red76
260942.3
434330.9
270828.1
Blue147
697830.7
415242.6
124149.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118116608010014016076147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#15
42.31.8
45.1→43.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
blue by 6.8
1241
#3
49.11.3
43.4→44.7
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
Second
4343
#18
30.91.8
30.1→28.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
blue by 11.7
4152
#5
42.61.3
37.1→38.4
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
Third
2708
#21
28.11.8
28.1→26.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.3
blue by 2.6
6978
#8
30.71.3
35.3→36.6
Auto9.4
Teleop13.7
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned