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Red81
78135.7
434330.9
748033.1
Blue125
415242.6
999918.0
201346.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061215015081125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#10
35.70.4
36.135.7
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End7.1
blue by 11.0
46.70.4
46.246.7
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
Second
7480
#22
33.10.4
33.533.1
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End6.9
blue by 9.5
42.60.4
42.242.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
Third
4343
#18
30.90.4
31.430.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
red by 12.9
9999
#20
18.00.7
17.418.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1