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Red122
201346.7
999918.0
415242.6
Blue99
270828.1
697830.7
270234.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121995015020012299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.4
45.746.1
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
red by 11.7
2702
#17
34.90.0
35.735.7
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Second
42.60.4
41.742.1
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
red by 11.9
30.70.0
31.531.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.7
End7.9
Third
9999
#20
18.00.6
16.517.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 10.1
2708
#21
28.10.0
28.928.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.3