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Red165
124149.1
430823.5
132550.9
Blue125
86522.8
260942.3
136031.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13295050150200165125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.0
49.750.7
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
red by 8.6
2609
#15
42.30.7
41.141.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
Second
49.11.0
47.948.9
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 17.4
1360
#11
31.70.7
30.431.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
Third
4308
#16
23.51.0
22.323.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 0.6
865
#14
22.80.7
21.622.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End7.1