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Red170
490762.4
755851.0
765919.7
Blue114
415242.6
999918.0
201346.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311550100200170114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.40.8
61.662.4
Auto15.9
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 15.7
46.70.2
46.146.3
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
Second
51.00.8
50.351.1
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
red by 8.4
42.60.2
42.142.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
Third
7659
#24
19.70.8
19.019.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End5.9
red by 1.7
9999
#20
18.00.3
17.117.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1