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Red100
124149.1
430823.5
132550.9
Blue68
748033.1
434330.9
78135.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341075015020010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.5
50.750.2
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
red by 15.2
781
#10
35.70.9
37.036.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End7.1
Second
49.10.5
48.948.4
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
red by 16.0
7480
#22
33.10.9
34.433.5
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Third
4308
#16
23.50.5
23.322.8
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 7.4
4343
#18
30.90.9
32.231.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7