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Red104
201346.7
999918.0
415242.6
Blue99
86522.8
260942.3
136031.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210105015020010499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.0
46.346.2
Auto13.5
Teleop24.3
End8.3
red by 4.3
2609
#15
42.30.1
42.442.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
Second
42.60.0
42.342.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
red by 10.9
1360
#11
31.70.1
31.831.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
Third
9999
#20
18.00.1
17.417.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 4.8
865
#14
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End7.1