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Red0
368346.8
467863.4
57199.8
Blue30
205653.7
755840.3
99982.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152114050100200030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.43.1
69.466.3
Auto17.2
Teleop37.3
End5.8
red by 9.8
2056
#10
53.71.8
57.555.7
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End8.8
Second
46.83.1
52.749.6
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End7.0
red by 6.4
40.31.8
44.242.4
Auto11.2
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Third
5719
#25
9.83.1
15.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
red by 7.6
9998
#19
2.22.5
7.75.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-3.6
End3.2