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Red0
368346.8
467863.4
57199.8
Blue10
205653.7
755840.3
99982.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142109050200010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.42.9
66.363.4
Auto17.2
Teleop37.3
End5.8
red by 9.8
2056
#10
53.72.1
55.753.7
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End8.8
Second
46.82.9
49.646.8
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End7.0
red by 6.4
40.32.1
42.440.3
Auto11.2
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Third
5719
#25
9.82.9
12.69.8
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
red by 7.6
9998
#19
2.23.0
5.22.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-3.6
End3.2