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Red80
205653.7
373924.6
86526.1
Blue142
301547.8
447646.1
999729.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16313005010020025080142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#10
53.74.8
78.073.2
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End8.8
red by 5.8
3015
#20
47.80.1
55.255.3
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
Second
865
#14
26.14.8
37.632.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1
blue by 19.9
46.10.1
55.355.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Third
3739
#18
24.64.8
36.331.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.1
End4.6
blue by 4.8
29.30.2
25.725.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned