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Red110
99982.2
132548.5
124141.8
Blue103
128534.2
136031.2
495118.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16283050100200250110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#13
48.52.1
65.363.2
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.0
red by 14.3
1285
#21
34.21.0
38.839.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Second
41.82.1
56.854.6
Auto10.4
Teleop25.5
End4.4
red by 10.5
1360
#16
31.21.0
31.532.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Third
9998
#19
2.23.6
25.722.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-3.6
End3.2
blue by 16.5
4951
#23
18.71.0
17.418.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned