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Red135
301547.8
99982.2
57199.8
Blue176
755840.3
909843.1
111451.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85192050100150250300135176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#20
47.82.7
50.953.6
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
blue by 3.8
1114
#12
51.60.6
60.160.7
Auto10.4
Teleop31.9
End7.4
Second
5719
#25
9.82.7
18.921.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 33.3
43.10.6
48.348.9
Auto11.2
Teleop25.6
End7.2
Third
9998
#19
2.24.3
24.128.3
Auto3.5
Teleop-3.6
End3.2
blue by 38.2
40.30.6
57.958.5
Auto11.2
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned