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Red115
86526.1
494639.6
747527.0
Blue157
316132.1
132548.5
373924.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113146050200250300115157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#24
39.60.4
51.151.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End5.1
blue by 9.0
1325
#13
48.51.6
57.959.6
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.0
Second
7475
#22
27.00.4
26.627.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End6.2
blue by 5.1
3161
#17
32.11.6
42.444.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.7
Third
865
#14
26.10.4
31.531.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1
red by 1.6
3739
#18
24.61.6
32.033.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned