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Red10
368346.8
467863.4
57199.8
Blue0
132548.5
124141.8
491720.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172136050100150200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.43.3
75.772.4
Auto17.2
Teleop37.3
End5.8
red by 14.9
1325
#13
48.52.9
56.653.7
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.0
Second
46.83.3
59.055.7
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End7.0
red by 5.0
41.82.9
49.846.9
Auto10.4
Teleop25.5
End4.4
Third
5719
#25
9.83.3
22.018.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 11.0
4917
#26
20.82.9
28.825.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0