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Red10
111451.6
4845.0
373924.6
Blue0
301547.8
909843.1
86526.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151132050100200250300100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#12
51.62.9
57.454.5
Auto10.4
Teleop31.9
End7.4
red by 3.8
3015
#20
47.82.8
50.647.8
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
Second
48
#2
45.02.9
50.747.9
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 1.9
43.12.8
45.943.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.6
End7.2
Third
3739
#18
24.62.9
30.327.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.1
End4.6
blue by 1.6
865
#14
26.12.8
28.926.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1