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Red10
151134.7
131048.3
128534.2
Blue0
353848.1
999729.3
136031.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150111050200250100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.32.8
53.851.1
Auto15.5
Teleop23.2
End8.6
red by 0.2
3538
#11
48.12.6
50.748.1
Auto11.5
Teleop31.4
End5.4
Second
1511
#15
34.72.8
40.237.5
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.6
red by 3.5
1360
#16
31.22.6
33.931.2
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Third
1285
#21
34.22.8
39.837.0
Auto12.3
Teleop16.4
End5.8
red by 4.9
29.33.8
33.129.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.1
End7.1