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Red144
447647.8
755847.4
559615.1
Blue93
769031.2
285220.5
131036.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118905010015020014493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
46.747.3
Auto15.7
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 11.6
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
Second
47.40.6
46.346.9
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
red by 16.2
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Third
5596
#28
15.10.7
13.914.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 5.4
2852
#19
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1