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Red90
771226.6
697834.4
430816.4
Blue116
769031.2
285220.5
131036.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8194406010012014016090116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.1
34.434.4
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End8.4
blue by 1.8
36.20.5
35.636.2
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
Second
26.60.1
26.726.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End5.1
blue by 4.6
31.20.5
30.631.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Third
4308
#26
16.40.1
16.416.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
blue by 4.2
2852
#19
20.50.5
20.020.5
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1