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Red110
697834.4
686614.9
771226.6
Blue101
503626.2
755847.4
503227.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621010204080120140160110101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.43.9
29.933.8
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End8.4
blue by 13.0
47.40.8
42.343.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
Second
26.62.3
22.024.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End5.1
blue by 0.9
5032
#14
27.51.3
24.225.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Third
6866
#21
14.92.3
10.913.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.5
blue by 11.3
5036
#11
26.20.8
22.923.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned