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Red49
503125.5
885014.1
639715.4
Blue49
613519.3
857412.2
834922.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658203040507080904949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#10
25.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End8.4
red by 3.4
8349
#18
22.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Second
6397
#12
15.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End7.4
blue by 3.9
6135
#23
19.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
8850
#22
14.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End4.0
red by 1.9
8574
#24
12.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed