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Red109
131036.2
285220.5
769031.2
Blue72
503626.2
434326.0
834922.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9278406010012014016010972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.4
35.035.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
red by 9.9
5036
#11
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End6.6
Second
31.20.4
30.030.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 5.2
4343
#17
26.00.1
26.126.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Third
2852
#19
20.50.4
19.319.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1
blue by 1.6
8349
#18
22.10.1
22.222.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.2
End5.6