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Red139
447647.8
755847.4
559615.1
Blue89
771226.6
697834.4
430816.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117765010015013989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
46.046.7
Auto15.7
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 13.4
34.40.3
34.234.4
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End8.4
Second
47.40.6
45.746.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
red by 20.7
26.60.3
26.426.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End5.1
Third
5596
#28
15.10.7
13.213.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 1.2
4308
#26
16.40.3
16.116.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1