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Red69
270633.2
614119.8
760322.2
Blue74
503227.5
293526.1
219814.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82742040601001201401606974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#13
33.20.2
33.533.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.1
End8.4
red by 5.7
5032
#14
27.50.3
28.428.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Second
7603
#20
22.20.2
22.522.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.7
End4.3
blue by 3.9
26.10.3
26.926.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.8
Third
19.80.2
20.220.0
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End6.5
red by 5.3
2198
#25
14.50.3
15.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0