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Red130
131036.2
285220.5
769031.2
Blue82
571920.9
872920.3
503125.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926520408010012014016013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.5
34.635.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
red by 10.7
5031
#10
25.50.3
24.624.9
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End8.4
Second
31.20.5
29.630.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 10.3
5719
#16
20.90.3
20.020.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
2852
#19
20.50.5
19.019.5
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1
red by 0.3
8729
#27
20.30.3
19.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4