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Red97
368366.8
540816.5
503231.3
Blue130
702217.9
467856.7
540943.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218505010015020097130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.81.1
63.162.0
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 10.2
56.74.5
33.638.1
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
5032
#15
31.31.1
29.128.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End9.9
blue by 12.5
43.82.7
35.238.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Third
5408
#20
16.51.9
16.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 1.4
7022
#21
17.94.5
15.520.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned