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Red43
808923.0
876422.5
876514.6
Blue107
906214.3
497650.4
375616.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669120408010012014043107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#19
23.01.5
25.524.0
Auto9.3
Teleop6.1
End7.6
blue by 27.4
50.40.6
47.348.0
Auto13.4
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
8764
#23
22.52.4
20.818.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 6.0
3756
#16
16.50.6
19.820.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Third
8765
#24
14.62.4
18.616.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
red by 0.2
9062
#25
14.31.1
15.416.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned