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Red103
316148.2
687513.5
808134.3
Blue104
750913.6
111458.3
491743.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75117050100150103104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.5
40.241.7
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
blue by 10.1
58.30.0
48.648.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
Second
8081
#12
34.32.5
18.320.8
Auto11.7
Teleop16.9
End5.8
blue by 9.6
43.80.0
38.038.0
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
Third
6875
#27
13.52.5
17.019.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 0.1
7509
#22
13.60.1
18.017.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned