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Red157
909841.3
260943.5
111458.3
Blue49
702217.9
906214.3
876514.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13946010015020015749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.4
49.250.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
red by 40.4
7022
#21
17.90.7
25.625.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
43.52.4
35.037.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 29.0
8765
#24
14.60.7
15.214.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Third
41.31.4
34.636.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
red by 27.0
9062
#25
14.30.7
14.013.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed