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Red98
316148.2
752019.2
270234.4
Blue111
540816.5
747525.7
467856.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9395708010011012013014098111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.6
43.143.6
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
blue by 8.5
56.72.7
47.750.4
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
2702
#14
34.40.6
28.829.4
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End5.4
red by 8.7
7475
#10
25.71.6
21.523.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End6.0
Third
7520
#29
19.20.9
17.818.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End5.1
red by 2.7
5408
#20
16.52.7
17.420.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned