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Red103
111458.3
747525.7
702217.9
Blue109
77221.9
491743.8
467856.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021336080120160180200103109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.4
53.252.8
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
red by 1.6
56.71.8
52.350.6
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
7475
#10
25.70.4
22.922.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End6.0
blue by 18.1
43.81.1
43.142.0
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
Third
7022
#21
17.90.7
23.322.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3
blue by 4.0
772
#17
21.91.8
25.623.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned