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Red102
876422.5
591224.9
260943.5
Blue78
503231.3
808923.0
316148.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611220406010012014016010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.2
40.342.5
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
blue by 4.7
48.21.5
45.343.9
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
Second
5912
#13
24.92.2
17.519.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End4.8
blue by 6.3
5032
#15
31.31.5
29.528.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End9.9
Third
8764
#23
22.52.2
18.020.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
blue by 0.5
8089
#19
23.01.5
25.323.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned