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Red129
375616.5
909841.3
368366.8
Blue101
270234.4
808134.3
772224.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377550100150200129101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.5
64.164.6
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 32.5
2702
#14
34.41.5
31.132.7
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Second
41.30.5
37.037.6
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
red by 7.0
8081
#12
34.32.4
29.832.2
Auto11.7
Teleop16.9
End5.8
Third
3756
#16
16.50.5
19.920.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 7.6
7722
#11
24.12.4
17.319.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned