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Red132
260943.5
699210.5
467856.7
Blue121
497650.4
494019.3
270234.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161096080100140160180132121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.5
55.756.3
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
red by 6.2
50.40.3
50.250.4
Auto13.4
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
43.50.5
42.643.1
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 9.2
2702
#14
34.40.3
34.134.4
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Third
6992
#28
10.50.5
9.610.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 8.7
4940
#30
19.30.3
19.019.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End3.8