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Red166
368366.8
876422.5
111458.3
Blue108
909841.3
540943.8
702217.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1639950150200166108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.4
66.466.8
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 23.0
43.80.2
43.243.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
58.30.4
57.958.2
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
red by 17.0
41.30.2
40.740.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
Third
8764
#23
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 4.6
7022
#21
17.90.2
17.317.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3