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Red119
260943.5
699210.5
467856.7
Blue88
316148.2
491743.8
752019.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116121608010014016018020011988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.2
56.356.5
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
red by 8.5
48.20.6
48.748.2
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
Second
43.50.2
43.143.3
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
blue by 0.3
43.80.6
44.443.8
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
Third
6992
#28
10.50.2
10.210.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 8.7
7520
#29
19.20.6
19.819.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End5.1