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Red134
702217.9
540943.8
909841.3
Blue118
467856.7
699210.5
260943.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071196080100140160180134118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.7
43.344.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
blue by 12.9
56.70.2
56.556.7
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
41.30.7
40.841.6
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
blue by 2.2
43.50.2
43.343.5
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Third
7022
#21
17.90.7
17.518.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 7.4
6992
#28
10.50.2
10.410.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6